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A Theoretical Test by Sino-U.S. Relations (I)

Peterson B.Zhou
Superdirector.Com
, January 15, 2003

Peterson B. Zhou (©PÄ_¥Í) ,Senior Fellow, Research Professor. Areas of research Interests: Legal Writing and Logic, Civil Litigation, Criminal Justice, U.S. Judicial System, Social Theory, U.S. Foreign Policy, International Relations, International Trade, U.S.-China Relations, Taiwan, US Congressional Studies, U.S. Constitution, Chinese Cultural Perceptions on National Defense and Security, Education, Diversity, World Culture, History of Chinese culture and civilization, Chinese Philosophy, Taoism, Lao Tzu, Confucius, International Human Rights, U.S. Civil Rights, Cross Cultural Communication, Web and Digital Communication, Translation .(Click here to see his speech at National Academic Conference in 1991 )

INTRODUCTION

(Editor's Note: This paper was published in 1997 before the handover of Hong Kong to the People's Republic of China under a different world situation and different historical background. However, the insightfulness and implication from this paper is still significant and valid for today's world issues. In the words of Dr.Kidd of University of San Francisco, "Peterson Baosheng Zhou opens a path which calls for a flexible attitude of exchange rather than conflict." If you have any question, please contact editorial board at editor@superdirector.com.)

In his discussion on recent development of sociological theory, one of the most prominent American Sociologists points out that "If theory without research tends to be 'empty', research without theory tends to be decidedly 'blind"(Wiley, 1990). This point of view suggests the importance of relationship between theory building and empirical research. Both the "grand narrative" and "empirical research" are considered to be important in sociological explorations. The problem is that how to apply correct theory to research and how to disapprove incorrect theory by empirical research. More and more sociologists are inclined to build an entirely new approach by developing or modifying some concepts or propositions from other conventional schools in order to meet the changes and challenges of the modern world because "the new society requires a new social science"(Coleman,1996) and the new social science "must be willing to cut across traditional disciplinary boundaries"(Ritzer,1996). In my opinion, Ritzer does not provide us with an explicit answer to this question, though he does suggest the difference between new social science and conventional social science. Although some theorists attach great importance on the linkages between macro and micro analysis, they focus on the characteristics of the sociology rather then on the new theory per se. Coleman emphasizes that "the most formidable task of sociology is the development of a theory that will move from the micro level of action to the macro level of norms, social values, status distribution, and social conflict"(Coleman,1994).

Unfortunately, Coleman's explanation is also not sufficient to address such a question as "what is the new theory" or "what is a new science", even though he does suggest that rational choice and exchange theories be a new trend of micro-macro integration theoretical perspective.

Obviously, although micro-macro integration has become a contemporary sociological movement with the leading exponents such as George Ritzer, Jeffrey Alexander, Norbert Wiley, James Coleman and Randal Collins, a new social science is yet still not available, even sociology is still considered as an immature science(by Turner). Because of the difficulties for analyzing the complex social phenomena by employing only one single perspective, more and more contemporary sociologists tend to conduct research by using different approaches or develop their theories by borrowing ideas and concepts from other perspectives. There is possibility for the solutions of modern social problems if appropriate approaches are developed and the coping strategies with the strains toward the macro or micro extremes are properly adopted.

In my opinion, the combination of Conflict theory and exchange theory is an effective approach to address the social problem in real world especially in the case of modern China. Although this combination can not be defined as a new science, the new approach is very powerful and very useful in explaining the macro phenomena in the new world system since the end of World War II. In this paper, I intend to discuss international politics focusing on international relations between the United States and China. While contrasting and comparing the different propositions and characteristics of various conflict and exchange theories as well as the development of related sociological perspectives, I illustrate the challenge of Marxism by dramatic social change and the revision and modifications by neo-Marxian theorists, especially the geopolitics theorists. By analyzing the similarities and differences between Wallerstein's models and Collins' Models, the author believe that both of them are hyper-macro analysts and have made great contributions to the modern geopolitics, though both of them have historical limitations in addressing to the problems of modern China. However, their limitations are repairable and remediable if enough attentions are given to other theorists such as Mann's network theory, Levi-Strauss's structural analysis and exchange network theory of Emerson.

Following the meaningful attempt of micro-macro integration, the author attaches great importance on the conflict-exchange integration approach because of the compatibility of these two prominent perspectives. My propositions are that: 1, Conflict and exchange are two most important interactions among human beings, therefore, they are two eternal subject matters for social scientists. 2, Conflict is the consequence of unequal exchange while exchange is the alternative to conflict. 3, Conflict and exchange will lead to the change of power, thus lead to alliance of two parties against the third party. This paper consists of three parts: (I) The development of conflict theory in geopolitics; (II) The development of exchange theory and its compatibility with conflict theory; (III) The application of conflict and exchange theories as well as other perspectives in studying relationships between China and the United States exemplified by business and trade relations.

I. The Development of Modern Conflict Theory in Geopolitics.

It is generally believed that modern conflict theory has developed as partially reaction to structural functionalism and as a result of many criticisms. However, unlike the criticism of structural functionalism, conflict theory has been attacked for ignoring order and stability, for being ideologically radical. Marx's conflict theory was attacked as economic determinism and was only single dimension that was insufficient in explaining the multidimensional social phenomena. Theoretically, Marx was regarded as an economic determinist. According to Marx, society consists of two major parts, economic base and superstructures. Human being must first solve the problems of substance of living before they can pursue careers in the superstructure such as politics, religion, ideas, art, literature and so forth.

By analyzing the relationship between the means of production and the ownership in capitalist countries, Marx divided individuals into two major interested groups: those who own means of production are in a better position in maintaining their power and control over those who had not any access to the means of production. As a result, the society is made up of the two conflicting class: proletariat and bourgeoisie. The proletariat had to work for capitalists who own the means of production and thus increased their wealth by exploiting workers' surplus value. Class is the motor of transition from one mode of production to another. "The change of the economic foundation the entire immense super-structure is more or less rapidly transformed." (Burawoy,1990).

Methodologically, Marx was believed to be a macro dynamic analyst. For Marx, "class" was his unit of analysis, though it was too narrow to explain society. Marx's theory on class was considered not only a theory of social structure, but also a theory of change (Wallance, 1995). According to Marx, "The history of all hitherto existing society is the history of class struggles", that is the struggle between working class and bourgeoisie, between the oppressed and the oppressors. For Marx, the conflict between these two classes will never decline in the class society until the birth of new and classless society.

Politically, Marx was a radical and a revolutionary. He predicted the demise of capitalism in an optimistic point of view. "Inequality" is the major social problem in capitalist society. According to Marx, the fundamental solution to this social problem is to get rid of capitalist system through the means of revolution and build a better socialist system instead. In socialist society, the ownership of the means of production belongs to Public through the management of state and the market is controlled by state through planned economics.

In Marx's point of view, the distribution of the social resources in socialist system was quite different from that of capitalist system and it was better than capitalist society, because the social inequality can be solved in socialist country. The individuals get what they need according to their contribution (labor) to the society. The principles for distributing resources are made based on individuals' working, not based on individual needs (In this sense, Marx was regarded as naive and antagonism to individual and more idealistic).

Marx predicted that the modern technology and the mass-production manner in industries make it possible for the working class to overthrow the capitalist system because capitalism lays solid economic foundation for the socialist society, and create the grave-diggers for the capitalism at the same time. The working class in all countries can be united and become the major force which is powerful to overthrow capitalist system because they have same interests and bond by the same conscience.

Historically, Marxism was quite successful in revolutionary practices by the communist parties in such countries as China, former Soviet Union, Cuba and Vietnam. As one major theoretical base in guiding their collective actions and organization as institutions, the Marxist practitioners had succeeded in their efforts to overthrow the old systems with the collapse of the previous ruling class. Unfortunately, Chinese socialist system was built on the semi-feudal and semi-colonialist society instead on solid basis of capitalist system. China's socialist system was challenged by the weak economic foundation ever since the birth of the People's Republic of China in 1949. The economic development was not paid enough attentions since the Communist Party of China had wrongly interpreted Marx's ideas on class and had busily engaged in continuous class struggle and revolution. The chaotic upheaval of the whole country reached to its peak in 1960' as The Great Cultural Revolution and caused the death of tremendous number of people including the President Liu of the People's Republic of China and several marshals(Lin Biao, Helong, Chen Yi).

In my opinion, Marxism is impotent in explaining the social inequality in distribution of resources in the case of China although socialism has been adhered to but the democratic politics and humanitarism have been neglected. One of the major reasons is that the first-generation-Marxist-leaders either failed to master the real Marxism core principle in its original sense or just adhered to one theory without considering other valuable theory. Therefore, they overemphasized the importance of revolution and class struggle, but neglected Marx's essential principle in economic development. For Marx, "economy is the basis of superstructure". It is the Marxist practitioners' faults, though the theory itself has limitation and needs modification and revision.

Marxian theory had left a lot of unsolved problems for sociologists which gave rise to the developments of neo-Marxism in the different orientations in critical, analytical and historical conflict theories and economic sociological theory. Realizing the limitation of Marxism in explaining the social reality, neo-Marxian theorists have made great attempts in filling the gaps and tried to modify Marx system. Historically orientated Marxism and Neo-Marxian economic sociological theory are such endeavors. As two of the prominent modern Marxist theorists, Immanuel Wallerstein and Randall Collins have made intensive and extensive research on the modern word-system theory and geopolitics respectively which are defined as historical conflict Marxism (On the whole, Collins's theory is defined as Exchange Conflict theory by Jonathan Turner).

Unlike Marx who focused on analyzing classes, Wallerstein directs his interest in studying a broader economic entity with a division of labor which is not circumscribed by political or cultural boundaries. His unit of analysis is the world-system which is considered by some sociologists (such as Ritzer and Collins) as too abstract and is believed to take conception from Braudel(Collins, 1981). In my opinion, Wallerstein is a hyper-macro analyst. Based on the historical-comparative approaches, Wallerstein argues that there are two types of world-systems. One is "world empires", the other is "world-economies". The world empires are based on political domination while world-economies are characterized by a multiplicity of political units, and which are tied together by warfare and by economic exchange. In contrast to Marx's radical ideas on the solution of Capitalist system, Wallerstein suggests a moderate means. He predicts that there will be possible for the third type of social system that but might come into being in future. The unborn world system is a socialist world-government within the capitalist world economy.

In contrast to Marx, Wallerstein analyzes the division of labor in a macro scale. According to wallerstein, the exploitation of labor not only occur in the relationship between working class and the capitalists, but also happen in the relationship between the core geographical areas and the periphery areas(states). In his ideas, the periphery consists of those areas that provide raw materials, low-skilled and low-waged laborers to the core and are therefore heavily exploited by the core states. Internally, the amount of costly class warfare are thus greatly reduced by a free and relatively well-paid labor force and a mass consumer market for economic products is created.

Wallerstein does not see evils of capitalism as Marx did. On the contrary, he regards capitalism as an economic alternative to political domination. Therefore, economic exploitation " makes it possible to increase the flow of the surplus value from the lower strata to the upper strata, from the periphery to the center, from the majority to the minority"(Wallerstein, 1974). He analyzes the surplus value and exploitation in a broader and larger scales and a longer period of circles.

On the other hand, he tries to explain the solutions of "market" by illustrating the humanitarian ideas advocated during the French Revolution. Wallerstein(1981) stated that "liberty, equality, fraternity are the concepts which have always been treated as three different ones and have been argued about the compatibility of each other for nearly 200 years". By analyzing Braudel's preconception of capitalism in which everything is seen upside down, Wallerstein sees the strength of adaptability, flexibility and rapidity of creating profit of capitalists. However, Wallerstein emphasizes the remarkable rising of "market socialism" as a policy option of the socialist countries in the last decade( China), in which competition is controlled. Furthermore, he suggests a better definition of capitalist world as "economic life" by describing two different pictures between "economic life" and "capitalism": "Economic life is regular, capitalism unusual. Economic life is a sphere where one knows in advance, capitalism is speculative. Economic life is transparent, capitalism shadowy or opaque. Economic life involves small profits, capitalism exceptional profits. Economic life is liberation, capitalism the jungle. Economic life is the automatic pricing of true supply and demand, capitalism the prices imposed by power and cunning. Economic life involves controlled competition, capitalism eliminating both control and competition. Economic life is the domain of ordinary people; capitalism is guaranteed by, incarnated in the hegemony power(Wallerstein, 1991).

According to Wallerstein, the rise of capitalist world-economy is based on the three factors: geographical expansion through exploration and colonization, development of different methods of labor control for zones of the world -economy, and development of strong states. The strong states dominate the world economy system not by political forces or military resorts but by their economic power. The dominated states take the leading positions by turn as a result of their change in economic power because of the crisis. The cycles are analogous to the periodic crisis of Marxian economics, but unlike Marxian periodicity in 10 years at the national level, Wallerstein's cyclical dynamics is a century and is transnational.

Politically, class conflict increases during the downturn phase, but also that rivalry between cores stats erupt into especially severe warfare at those times. The uprising never occurred in the core countries because the people in these countries share the benefits from exploitation of the periphery countries. On the other hand, increasing concessions should be made to the workers in order to keep class conflict within bounds. In the case of the United States, the signs of trouble were not only in the gap between the rich and poor in America, but also in the rest of the world.

Economically, Western Europe and Japan are catching up with the United States. Raghavan is quite right in his analysis of the decline of the U.S. power. "After the collapse of the Bretton Woods system, and the subsequent political and economic upheavals of the 1970's, it is perhaps true to say that the US power had been relatively reduced, in military terms through the Soviet emergence as a nuclear and space power and in Economic terms by the new centers in Europe and Japan"(Raghavan,1990). Therefore, Wallerstein focuses his attention on the economic development in different countries while analyzing the world economic system and predicts the change of power in the change of exploitation. To a certain degree, Wallerstein is also an economic determinist.

However, Wallerstein's models are considered very abstract and "his long-term cyclical model has not been worked out" (Collins, 1981). It seems to Collins, Wallerstein' projection of the future of capitalist cycles expresses the Marxian revolutionary hope in a new form. It is old wine in a new bottle. He neglects other important factors such as culture and religion as Collins criticizes on this point (Collins,1981). Although Collins does not specify in his criticism on Wallerstein approach, there is some clues in his comments on Wallersitein's models that his approach is one-dimensional rather than multidimensional in his comparative and historical analysis.

Nevertheless, Wallerstein's approach has unique merit in comparison with the conventional geopolitics, because he is able to show how military relations in space have economic effects and he agrees to the point that the state is an economic consumer that determines long term political power. Collins suggests the improvement of Wallerstein's models by filling in some of its explanatory gaps if it were tied to a systematic theory of geopolitical factors such as heartland territories and natural barriers. Another friendly suggestion by Collins is that "Wallerstein's model would be made stronger if its Marxian dynamics were still further integrated with the Weberian tradition"(Collins, 1981).

Similar to wallerstein's world economic system analysis, Collins is another hyper-macro-analyst in exploring his geopolitics(he is very micro in conflict theory in general), though his conflict theory is not limited to geopolitics. While analyzing change and conflict at macro level, Collins also extends his unit of analysis to the territorial power of states and extends the variable of time to 10- 30 generations. In this case, it is possible for him to extend his study to 1000 B.C. onward in China, and 3000 B.C. in Middle East, and 1000 B.C approximately in Europe because he believes that external patterns have overriding influences in a multi causal situation in the changing of macro sociological structure. He places great emphasis on studying the relationships between internal organizations and the external patterns.

Collins also attaches great importance on the institution of economy though he is by no means an economic determinist. In his opinion, "more productive economics have proportionately greater surplus for investment in war equipment, larger populations, and greater proportions of the population freed for military action"(Collins,1981)

However, unlike Walleinstein's categories of cores zones and periphery and semi-periphery zones, Collins divides his determinants of states into two sorts: the organizational resources that make up the bases of military power, and the territorial configurations in which this power is exercised. The first determinant consists of three variables "weapons and military structure", "economy" and "administrative resources including the technology of administration and cultural resources in the forms of religion and ethnicity". The second sort is made up of another three variables: "heartlands", "barriers" and "the external relationship among heartlands and the states that are built upon them. Similar to Wallerstein's model, Collins's models also address to very lengthy historical period and "certain configurations of variables may take as many as 10 to 30 generations to work themselves out"(Collins,1981).

Politically, his ideas on heartlands is wider than core zones. The "states based upon the largest and wealthiest heartlands tend to dominate the smaller and poorer ones, all else being equal"(Collins,1981). "Thus, most powerful and the wealthiest nations have richer economic resources which are in advantageous positions in competing with other nations states. In the example of the Second World War, the economic resources of the U.S., U.K. and the U.S.S. favored military predominance over Germany, Italy, and Japan.(Liddell-Hart,1971:16-24)" (in Collins, 1981).

However, as admitted in his essay, even Collins realizes the difficulties in formulating workable units of analysis. In his opinion, a perfect full-fledged model is yet a goal for sociologists to take pains to reach. In studying powers of states, it still remains to tie together the variables(weapons and military organization, economy, administrative resources) affecting the internal organization of the state, to show where they add additional predictive powers in the multi causal composite of external factors. In the light of this statement, Collins' paradigm seems more comprehensive and multidimensional, therefore should be considered more applicable and more significant than Wallersteins' models. His elaboration on the importance of related factors in administrative resources such as culture and religions and ethnicity is particularly significant. His analysis on the history of ancient China is far reaching and deep. Collins concludes that: "In China, the unified periods have lasted approximately 250,400,300,160, and 600 years, and the periods of disunity approximately 600,400,60, and 160 years" (Collins, 1981).

Unfortunately, he neither gives the explanation to the unity and disunity of modern China, nor predicts the possibility of the reunification of China and Taiwan and the birth of "Greater China" in the wake of the restoration of the sovereignty over Hong Kong and Macao by the end of this century. Collins does not explain the disunity and reunification of the modern states such as Germany, Vietnam, and Korea either. He has hardly address to the internal factors that lead to the great social change. In these areas, contemporary network analysis theorists such as Skocpol, Goldstone, Downing and Mann have contributed tremendously to the development of geopolitics and fill the gaps by Collins and Wallerstein's models.

Collins believes that Skocpol develops her revolutionary theory which has not only a geopolitical component, but also a domestic component. Skocpol emphasizes on geopolitical crises bringing about fiscal strain and intra-elite conflict that sets the stage for revolts. Therefore, Skocpol's theory is a powerful alternative to conflict theory or rather to Marxian theory in explaining the causes of revolutions not only in modern China, but also the revolutions taken place in other third world countries. In China's case, the internal factors such as the extreme inequality gap and the large numbers of poor people as well as the corruption of the ruling class became the major reasons of the civil revolution. In addition to the internal factors, the external factors such as the invasion of foreign country(Japan and eight-nation alliance)and the assistance from foreign countries( Russia and U.S.) are also very important factors to be studied.

However, I think Mann's network models is also very convincing in China's case. Although Mann's four-network models are overlapping and noncoinciding, his perspective bears a kinship to Wallerstein world-system analysis. Mann's network model is considered more extensive in logics(by Collins) and more comprehensive in context and more powerful in explaining modern conflicts between states(by me). His dialectical analysis on the relationship between economics and geopolitics is particularly important under the circumstances of modern world situation. In the case of China, Mann's network theory is better in explaining the domestic conflict and disunity of modern China. "The collapse of one form of stratification means the opportunity for its enemies, those who were oppressed by it, to seize the means of mobilization and organization for themselves"(Collins,1981). His cultural/ideological networks is a good model that display the importance of cultural resources or ideal resources as variables in studying states as unit of analysis. During the anti-Japanese War, it was the common ideas and culture that united all Chinese people regardless of internal political conflict or religious differences under a disadvantageous situation. There was lack of financial and technological power and the weapons was very backward in comparison with the military strength of Japan. However, the Japanese finally had been defeated. One of the reasons is that, they did not have cultural capital and emotional energy.(Post-War Japanese economic miracle is the consequence of the cultural capital: team spirit which resulted from the defeated humiliation.)

In Collins's own conflict theory, cultural capital and emotional energy are two important concepts which are hardly discussed by some other conflict theorists except for a few theorists such as Bourdieu and Alexander and Wuthnow whom are defined as structuralist or new Cultural sociologists.

To be frank, some of his general hypotheses and corollaries need to be supported by further evidences and some of his assumptions need to be modified since the world has changed as the end of cold war and as a result of the demise of Soviet Union.(I do not quite agree with Collins analysis on the demise of Russian empire because the personality of the state leaders play critically important role in social change. If the leader were Stalin not Gorbachev, the Soviet Union would not had been demise. The fundamental change of a social system relies on many factors and should be studied in a multidimensional perspective.

In sum, Collins conflict theory is in the direction of a more holistic perspective. Ritzer believes that Collins' conflict theory is relatively little influenced by Marx but more influenced by Weber, Durkhein and above all phenomenology and ethnomethodology and symbolic interactionlism. This is perhaps the most striking feature that distinguishes Collins from other conflict theorists as well as those in other perspectives. It is Weber who influenced Collins and help him to emphasis on the state as the agency that control the means of violence, which shifted attention from conflict over the economy(means of production) to conflict over the state. His understanding of the social arena of emotional product, particularly religions, is also due to Weber. Modern conflict theory is so influential and powerful that Ritzer warns that "one must be wary of the theoretical imperialism implied by this approach and the similar tone that pervades Collins's essay"(Ritzer,1996).

In the modern world stage, state power not only depends on the internal economic development and its international economic position, but also depends on clear strategy and the correct foreign policy. In my opinion, the military actions is the last choice for the state leaders to make since there is no real victory to any party in modern warfare especially the nuclear war. That's the reasons for China to reduce one million military forces in the late 80's because of the clear strategy and foreign policy. For all states regardless of rich or poor, the most appropriate and acceptable solution to the conflict is the means of exchange operationalized into international trade.

Conversely, it remains to show the ramifications of external geopolitics for internal process of domestic politics, economic change, and stratification. It seem to me that the key to link the external macro international structure to internal micro domestic structure is the analysis of the variables in models generated in the network analysis with focus on the international trade behaviors.

Modern conflict theorists have emphasized the possibility and importance of the consensus and integration between states. For instance, the alliance between the United States and Japan that developed after World War II. Therefore, sociology theory should be divided into two parts, conflict theory and consensus theory(Dahrendorf in Ritzer,1996). On the other hand, Coser argued that conflict may serve to solidify a loosely structured group. Conflict with one group may serve to produce cohesion by leading to a series of alliances with other groups. For example, conflict with the Arabs has led to an alliance between the United States and Israel. Continued lessening of the Israeli-Arab conflict might weaken the bonds between Israel and the United States. The Conflict between Mainland China with Taiwan might lead to the alliance between United States and Taiwan. These ideas reflect the influence of network theory and structuralism especially Levi-Strauss.

Starting at the point of analysis of kinship, Levi-Strauss extends his emphasis on the clan kinship to historical structure. Although his concepts on the structure are seen as resulting from exchange and regarded as "antipositivism and aestheticism" (Collins,1981), his accounts are considered "systematical", and therefore are acknowledged to have theoretical merit. Levi-Strauss' structural version of exchange theory, in Collins point of view, "appears a much more promising route to understanding this phenomenon (alliance network) than the individual-level, utilitarian style of exchange theory as in the styles of Homans, Blau et al"(Collins,1981). His concepts may provide the building blocks that is wanted for a better theory of alliances that make up modern politics and international relations as well as interorganizational ties, business communities, friendship network and the intellectual world itself. The structural key to historical change is the interdependence of conflict and exchange. In his dictionary, world is predictable and the historical structure is also predictable. History is a series of alliances structure, with their strains and conflictual transformations. According to his ideas, "Exchanges are peacefully resolved wars, and wars are the result of unsuccessful transactions (1949/1969:67)"(In collins, 1981). It seems imperative and worthwhile to briefly examine the development of modern exchange theory first before I further discuss the relationship between conflict theory and exchange theory.(1997)
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